Crisis in Shanghai: With Birth Rate Lower Than Japan, is China Lost
Misguided and unsuccessful, the efforts of Indian State at population control, at Western behest will go down in history as a black chapter – and remains a huge failure.
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China (and many Chinese) respectfully accepts Western advice on such matters | Cartoon in January 2005 from China Daily; an over-sized plane | Click for image.
The only reason India is not sitting on a demographic time bomb, is because of our देसी मन्द बुद्धि desi-mand buddhi (rustic minds). Especially from the Indo-Gangetic plains.
This देसी rustic mindset that our ruling elites look at with contempt, did not get fooled by the massive propaganda drive by the West – using the Indian State as its agent.
Look at China.
Shanghai city seeks to revive a birth rate that has collapsed to almost half the level of rapidly aging Japan. China’s richest city, leading financial center, and largest port will see marriage registrations fall 17 percent this year, according to official estimates. “Shanghai is at the frontier of these broad social changes, and this is what is happening across urban China,” says Wang Feng, Beijing-based director for the Brookings-Tsinghua Center for Public Policy. “We will see it spread.”
The West never mentions over-consumption as a cause – but over-population is a ‘crisis’ | Cartoonist Clay Bennet represents the current over-population argument | Click for image.
China faces an urban shift that will shrink the pool of factory workers, who sustain economic growth, and expand the ranks of the elderly, who push up health-care and pension costs. Higher education levels, a focus on careers, and greater expectations are causing city-dwellers to marry later and have fewer children. Shanghai’s fertility rate—the number of children the average woman in the city will bear over her lifetime—was 0.79 in the year ended October 2010, about half the national level, government statistics show.
Better education opportunities have given more women the ability to choose their own partner, says Juemin Zhou, director of the Shanghai Matchmaking Trade Association, the main organizer of the event. “In the past, women were match-made by their parents,” says Zhou. “Then, it didn’t matter how old you were, or if your partner was blind in one eye, you still had to get married. Now, if you don’t find someone suitable, you just don’t settle.”
The number of single Shanghai women in their late 20s tripled in the last 15 years, to almost one in three, according to the Brookings-Tsinghua Center. Nearly 40 percent of college-educated women between 25 and 34 in the city were unmarried in 2005, the center says. That compares with 6 percent for women with only a junior-school education. (via In China’s Dating Scene, Women Get Pickier – Businessweek.
Have we got used to spoon-feeding by a hyperactive media? | Cartoon by Don Addis | Click for image.
The modern Desert Bloc State attempts at social directions has created monster side-effects.
Like female feticide in India and China. Giving rise to gender imbalances.
Or an obesity pandemic across the West and some the countries – linked closely to increased usage of sugar substitutes and sucrose alternatives, like HF corn syrup.
Encouraged by the State.
But, does the State plead guilty?
Ever.
And who does the State blame.
You and me. Of course.
माया Maya.
घोर माया Ghor maya.
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Who’s amung us
Will India also not have demographic problem? Middle class is starting to have 2 children if 1st child is a girl AND 1 child if 1st child is a boy. This is the trend I am noticing. Mainly Indian Muslims are having more than 2 children. How do you foresee India’s demographic trend?
1. South India has the highest divorce rates in the country?
2. They are already at replacement levels in the population – which means there is no growth. Is this likely to turn negative? I hope not, but I fear it may. Of course, South India is being lauded by the Establishment as progressive, advanced, educated, etc.
3. This anti-children, anti-family, anti-marriage attitudes seems to be correlated to ‘modern’ education (as per statistics) and ‘corporate’ employment (as per my understanding).
4. In all Desert Bloc countries, Muslim populations, like Christian populations have been stagnant and remain miniscule.
5. Muslim populations are increasing only in countries where Indian influence is strong – and therefore commitment to universal marriage is strong. India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia.
6. Indian marriage stabilizers work in these countries even for Muslims, as the Muslims in these countries have retained Indic marriage systems – even while being Muslims.
7. Meher system in all these societies (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia) is nominal, weak.
8. The day Muslims (from India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia) become ‘fully’ Muslim, implement the Meher system, their populations will start decreasing.
9. It maybe the Indo-Gangetic plains that will save us.
“The day Muslims (from India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia) become ‘fully’ Muslim, implement the Meher system, their populations will start decreasing.”
I am assuming Meher system is present in countries like Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Jordan, Syria. Their fertility rates are much higher than us (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_sovereign_states_and_dependent_territories_by_fertility_rate)
So it is not factually correct that Muslim population is only growing where indian influences are present.
I agree with you, Anti-children attitude is correlated with modern education and cooperate employment.
However, other reasons are high cost of living and reduced offspring needs. From the child’s first grade, parents are overburden by the expenses (school fees + bus fares + toys + clothes…etc.). In addition, modern technology has reduced the amount of housework, so less children are needed.
Do you think, our westernized way of living should be blamed for growing anti-children attitude?
If you consult the same Wikipedia, you will find what fertility rate means. It means nothing.
Take a simple measure. See the land mass of Saudi Arabia. Compare it to the population of a similar sized Indian State. You will see the difference. The simple point to note is that Desert Bloc has 80% of the world’s land mass – and about half the people are at their core.
2.
Good. That answers your last point #4 below.
3.
All these factors could also be reasons – but is not the entire story.
4.
Please refer to point #2 above.
A low birth rate is a sign of progress. People will be living longer and longer. It is said that the first person to live to 1000 could be alive today. We simply don’t need any more people. even 0.7 is far too high.